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Melusi Sibanda(PhD candidate)

Cell: (+27) 60 32 15967 / (+27) 72 64 73073
Fax: (+27) 86267 2023

Email: sibandamelusi@yahoo.co.uk / adnabis@webmail.co.za

            200509025@ufh.ac.za

Research Topic: Vulnerability to climate change and adaptation options for smallholder farmers in the Eastern Cape Province, South Africa.

Department: Department of Extension & Economics (Faculty of Science and Agriculture)
Research interests: Climate change and food security

Current Study Objectives:

The main objectives of this study is to assess climate vulnerability and measure the aggregate impact of climate change on income from agricultural crop and livestock production in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa under various climate scenarios. The study will analyze the impacts of global warming on the Eastern Cape Province agriculture in terms of long-term changes in climate variables (temperature and precipitation). In addition to assessing and measuring economic impacts, the second main objective of the study is to analyze determinants of farmers’ choices between alternative adaptation measures available to them. Adaptation measures refer to adjustments in management strategies to reduce risks or realize opportunities from actual or expected changes in climatic conditions.

The specific objectives will be to:

i) Assess climate vulnerability in the Eastern Cape Province through a vulnerability analysis, paying attention to the socio-economic and institutional factors within which the impact process takes place within a community.

ii) Apply a cross-sectional model to measure the impacts of changes in seasonal climate attributes (rainfall and temperature levels) on net revenue from crop and livestock farming, while controlling for the effect of other factors.

 

iii) Use estimated model parameters to predict impacts of future climate changes on net revenue from crop farming under various climate scenarios.

iv) Identify and analyze the household socio-economic factors that influence the use of adaptation measures at the farm level.

v) Suggest policy recommendations that can reduce the negative impacts of climate in the face of anticipated changes in climate.

Conference Proceedings

Sibanda, M., Mushunje, A. & Mutengwa, C.S., 2010. An assessment of Zanyokwe Irrigation Scheme, Keiskammahoek and OR Tambo on livelihoods, market size and potential adoption of open pollinated varieties (OPVs) of maize. Proceedings of the Rhodes Annual Post Graduate Economic Conference (October 2010), Grahamstown.

 Sibanda, M., Mushunje, A. & Mutengwa, C.S., 2010. An assessment on livelihoods, market size and potential adoption of open pollinated varieties (OPVs) of maize in the Eastern Cape. Proccedings of the National University of Rwanda (NUR) 3rd International Conference (November 2010), Butare.

Sibanda, M., Mushunje, A. & Mutengwa, C.S., 2012. An assessment of factors influencing the demand for Open Pollinated Varieties (OPVs) of maize as an adaptation strategy to Climate change by smallholder farmers in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. Poster Paper presented at the 50th National Conference of Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), 29 September – 03 October 2012, University of Freestate, Bloemfontein.

Sibanda, M., Mushunje, A. & Mutengwa, C.S., 2012. An evaluation on the profitability of growing Improved Maize Open Pollinated Varieties (OPVs) in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. Poster Paper presented at the 50th National Conference of Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), 29 September – 03 October 2012, University of Freestate, Bloemfontein.

 Sibanda, M., Mushunje, A. & Mutengwa, C.S., 2012. Maize Production Constraints and Awareness of Improved Maize Open Pollinated Varieties (OPVs) in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. Paper presented at the Rhodes Annual Postgraduate Economics Conference, 11 – 12 October 2012, Rhodes University, Grahamstown.

Sibanda, M., Mushunje, A. & Mutengwa, C.S., 2012. An assessment of factors influencing the demand for Open Pollinated Varieties (OPVs) of maize as an adaptation strategy to Climate change by smallholder farmers in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. Paper presented at the 1st National Conference on Global Change, 26 – 28 November 2012, Birchwood Hotel, Boksburg.

Work In Progress (Papers)

Sibanda M., Nhundu, K. & Mushunje, A., 2013. Implications of climate change on smallholder farming and food security: Adaptation strategies from a South African perspective.

Sunday Hosu, Melusi Sibanda & Abbyssinia Mushunje. Scenario simulation of small farms’ production efficiencies in the Eastern Cape Province, South Africa (Submitted to the African Agricultural Economics Association (AAEA) for the conference to be held in Tunisia in September 2013)

Other Publications

Lutshete, S., Sibanda, K. & Sibanda, M., 2011. A comparative analysis of end-to-end packet delay and loss rate at the University of Fort Hare network under stress.

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